The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Bucaramanga 41%
Draw 29.1%
Independiente Medellín 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
28%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
30.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Fiermarin C. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 6. Castrillon N. 23. Romana C. 21. Charrupi F. 8. Hinestroza F. 24. Ortiz J. 22. Fabry 17. Batalla E. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 27. Pons L.
25. Chaux E. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 4. Mantilla K. 5. Varela J. 13. Mena J. 21. Martegani A. 6. Moreno D. 20. Montano J. 11. Yony Gonzalez 8. Quintero J. (C) 9. Medina J.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo B. 30. Cantillo V. 28. Flores L. 18. Largacha E. 7. Londono K. 5. Murrilo A. 12. Novoa D. (G) 3. Rea M. 11. Salazar J.
10. Catano D. 24. Erazo N. 39. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 34. Klinger K. 16. Loboa H. 32. Lucumi C. 30. Palacios H. 14. Perlaza B.
Coaches
Peirano P.
Perea L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', Sambueza F. 🟥,
21', Yony Gonzalez 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
39', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Charrupi F. ⚽, Pons L. (A),
45+5', 2 - 1, Medina J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mena Perea E. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
46', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
46', Mena J. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Quintero J. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Montano J. ↓, Klinger K. ↑,
72', Romana C. 🟨,
79', Castrillon N. ↓, Rea M. ↑,
79', Hinestroza F. ↓, Murrilo A. ↑,
85', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
86', Batalla E. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
87', Caicedo B. 🟨,
90+5', Klinger K. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2.
Bucaramanga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ind Medellín has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Bucaramanga has had a series of away games.
Bucaramanga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
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Fiermarin C. (G) 
Gutierrez A. 
Sambueza F. (C) 
Flores L. 
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