Match Info

Date: 20 May 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos		Campinense

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.2
	3.1	3.15	2
	3.1	3.4	2.02
	3.16	3.62	2.06
	3.4	3.18	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.64)	2.07 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos
29%

Draw
27.3%

Campinense
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.1%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

17.9%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos's performance.

Campinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Campinense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campinense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paraibano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paraibano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Campinense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Campinense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cajazeirense de Desportos won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cajazeirense de Desportos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.05.21	Perilima - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	1:4 ✺
09.05.21	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Sousa	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Nacional de Patos - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:2 ✺
24.04.21	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - São Paulo Crystal	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Treze - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLTTL
- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
12.05.21	Campinense - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	Campinense - Perilima	4:3 ✺
01.05.21	Sousa - Campinense	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	São Paulo Crystal - Campinense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
31.10.20	Campinense - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:1
11.10.20	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Campinense	3:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
19.07.20	Campinense - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	1:0
07.04.19	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Campinense	1:1
31.03.19	Campinense - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	1:1
08.02.18	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Campinense	1:1
14.01.18	Campinense - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:1

Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Campinense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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