Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday


	Atlético Cali		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	4.5	3.5	1.75	Watch
	5.45	3.64	1.69
	4.33	3.4	1.7
	4.75	3.56	1.64	Watch
	4.1	3.55	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.6)	3.51 ↑ (3.33)	1.71 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
20.2%

Draw
26.1%

Fortaleza CEIF
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.6%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Cali's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Atlético Cali - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortaleza CEIF will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 6. Balanta E. 21. Barbosa Ospino B. C. 23. Camacho Bernasa E. Y. 15. Delgado Chara W. 7. Hurtado Agulo V. A. 8. Montano E. (C) 18. Mosorongo Zamora N. 14. Navarro Cardenas D. 17. Parra Aguirre J. F. 16. Quinonez J.	1. Castillo J. (G) 25. Bermudez Correa J. A. 21. Berrio C. 9. Blanco J. 18. Herrera J. 8. Hinestroza J. 27. Londono Y. 19. Moralez A. 10. Navarro S. (C) 4. Pertuz J. 11. Rodriguez N.
Substitutes
3. Alomia J. 24. Eraso G. 1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 19. Lizalda E. 4. Mojica A. 5. Rivera Hinestroza N. A. 25. Velasquez D.	16. Ampudia J. 6. Castro K. 7. Garcia J. 12. Garcia Jordan (G) 23. Guevara J. 14. Pico L. 24. Salas J.

Preview

Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )

Recent matches Atlético Cali is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fortaleza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
06.10.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Atlético Cali - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Tigres - Atlético Cali	2:3 ✺
19.09.23	Barranquilla - Atlético Cali	3:1 ✺
15.09.23	Atlético Cali - Deportes Quindío	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWLT
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
07.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2 ✺
25.09.23	Real Cundinamarca - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
20.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Internacional de Palmira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
13.05.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Cali	2:1
21.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Cali	2:0
13.02.22	Atlético Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
19.09.21	Atlético Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	0:3
10.02.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Cali	1:1

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