Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Bogotá

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	8	Watch
	1.35	4.33	7.25
	1.37	4.2	7.6	Watch
	1.41	4.21	8.51
	1.42	4.13	8.4	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.37	4.2	8.6	Watch
	1.37	4.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.19 ↓ (4.43)	7.93 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
66.4%

Draw
22%

Bogotá
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20.5%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

16.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Bogotá (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogotá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, Cordoba S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.

Fortaleza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bogotá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
24.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad	4:0 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLT
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
17.05.25	Leones - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Real Cundinamarca - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
07.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	2:1
29.04.23	Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0
01.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	1:2
31.05.22	Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2
17.05.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	0:1
27.02.22	Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
04.12.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	1:2

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