Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Atlético Cali		Jaguares de Córdoba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	4.65	3.4	1.72	Watch
	4.33	3.33	1.87
	3.88	3.33	1.93	Watch
	6	3.5	1.55
	4.56	3.48	1.74	Watch
	4.51	3.58	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.31)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
19.3%

Draw
26.8%

Jaguares de Córdoba
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.9%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Atlético Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Atlético Cali (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jaguares de Córdoba will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jaguares de Córdoba will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Cali (votes: 1 - 25%). Jaguares de Córdoba (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 7. Aguas Torres J. S. 3. Alomia J. 6. Balanta E. (C) 24. Escobar Carabali J. E. 23. Ibanez I. 18. Mosorongo Zamora N. 25. Pena J. 2. Reales Fontalvo D. M. 4. Sandoval J. 15. Veira J.	1. Figueroa J. (G) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 31. Barrios J. 60. Lenis K. 23. Lora R. 15. Maza J. 16. Mosquera K. 4. Mosquera Y. 26. Padilla D. 25. Roa J. (C) 17. Viveros J.
Substitutes
21. Belalcazar L. 9. Farias J. 30. Jimes Viscaino L. E. 5. Julio J. 11. Mosquera J. 20. Perdomo J. 8. Perea J. 16. Quinones J. 12. Suarez M. (G)	20. Andrade J. 12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 3. Bueno D. 6. Escobar A. 8. Julio J. 9. Perea S. 27. Perez J. 14. Pino D. 18. Reyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Roa J. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Atlético Cali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaguares de Córdoba is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaguares de Córdoba is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Cali - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.68%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
27.07.25	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Atlético Cali - Tigres	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Barranquilla - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.06.25	Atlético Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LTWWT
- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Copa
31.07.25	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
26.07.25	Orsomarso - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Huila	3:0 ✺
15.07.25	Real Cundinamarca - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
23.02.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Cali	3:1
Colombian Copa
19.03.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Cali	2:1
06.03.24	Atlético Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:2

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