Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 5

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)


	Atlético Cali		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	7	4.6	1.32
				Watch
	3.09	3.42	2.2
				Watch
	8.5	4.4	1.33
	3.31	3.34	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (8.18)	3.83 ↓ (4.6)	1.82 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
19.8%

Draw
25.8%

Deportivo Pasto
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

20.1%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

19.2%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Cali's performance.

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pasto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Cali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pasto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atlético Cali - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Cali will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Cali (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Atlético Cali (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Cali (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Deportivo Pasto is Qualified for Copa Colombia (Second stage Quarter~finals)

In recent matches, Atlético Cali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Pasto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Pasto is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Copa
05.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Atlético Cali - Real Santander	3:2 ✺
28.05.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Patriotas - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLT
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Copa
11.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
05.06.25	Real Santander - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
08.05.19	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Cali	2:0
14.02.19	Atlético Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:2

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