Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE - ROUND 8

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday


	Atlético Catarinense		Avaí

	1	X	2
	9.75	4.6	1.27
	10	4.3	1.25
	13.76	4.66	1.26
	11.75	5	1.25
	11	4.7	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.25 ↑ (6.08)	4.65 ↑ (3.12)	1.26 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense
8.1%

Draw
19.5%

Avaí
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

29.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

28.3%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Atlético Catarinense - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. A Catarinense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for A Catarinense: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlético Catarinense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avaí is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Catarinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avaí is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Catarinense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
12.02.23	Concórdia - Atlético Catarinense	3:0 ✺
09.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Joinville	0:4 ✺
05.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Camboriú - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
11.02.23	Avaí - Brusque	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	4:3 ✺
04.02.23	Avaí - Figueirense	4:0 ✺
25.01.23	Hercílio Luz - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLW

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