Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Round 3Date: 22 September 2025, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Náutico Marcílio Dias |
|
Avaí |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.82 |
6.17 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.75 |
7.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34
(1.34) |
4.79 ↑
(4.75) |
6.89 ↓
(7.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias
67.9% | Draw
18.9% | Avaí
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-5%)The ML Model estimate for Avaí aligns with the current prediction.Náutico Marcílio Dias - Avaí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Marcílio Dias is the undeniable favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.2:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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