Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Round 5Date: 7 October 2025, TuesdayLocation: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)
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Barra Santa Catarina |
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Avaí |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.63 |
3.9 |
4.39 |
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 |
1.62 |
4 |
4.4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (2.02) |
3.95 ↑ (3.6) |
4.4 ↑ (3.14) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina 56.1% | Draw 23.1% | Avaí 20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barra Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 78', 🟥,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Barra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Avaí has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Barra is the team to beat.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Avaí - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.18%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;