Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Central		Caudal Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.82	3.15	3.95
	1.90	3.28	3.85
	1.85	3.41	3.94	Watch
	1.85	3.00	4.00
	1.89	3.35	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.18)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.96 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
49%

Draw
28.1%

Caudal Deportivo
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Central's performance.

Caudal Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caudal Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caudal Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Central - Caudal Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Sachetti E. ⚽,
45+5', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Atlético Central have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caudal Deportivo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Atlético Central is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.06.26	Dos Hermanas - Atlético Central	1:4 ET ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Central - Dos Hermanas	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Atlético Central - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Bollullos - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sevilla C - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT
- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.06.26	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ET ✺
17.05.26	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Caudal Deportivo - Gijón Industrial	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWTW

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