Match Info
Copa Governo - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 19 August 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Desportiva Aracaju |
|
Lagarto |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.85 |
3.30 |
|
 |
2.22 |
2.86 |
3.22 |
|
 |
2.09 |
3.08 |
3.52 |
|
 |
2.19 |
2.80 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.48 |
3.28 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.62) |
3.01 ↓
(3.06) |
3.29 ↑
(2.47) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Desportiva Aracaju
42.4% | Draw
30.1% | Lagarto
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportiva Aracaju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desportiva Aracaju's performance.Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lagarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Aracaju than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desportiva Aracaju that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lagarto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Desportiva Aracaju - Lagarto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Rocyan ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 0, Bruninho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', 🟥,
Preview
Desportiva Aracaju is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Lagarto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Desportiva Aracaju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Desportiva Aracaju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Desportiva Aracaju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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