Match Info

Sergipano - Round 6

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Desportiva Aracaju		Sergipe

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	7.05	3.38	1.54	Watch
	6	3.4	1.53
	6.47	3.68	1.48
	6	3.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (4.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.42)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportiva Aracaju
14.6%

Draw
25.3%

Sergipe
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

26.4%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

25.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportiva Aracaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergipe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Aracaju than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Desportiva Aracaju - Sergipe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, De Andrey ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, Henrique D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Desportiva Aracaju is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sergipe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sergipe is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportiva Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
31.01.26	América de Propriá - Desportiva Aracaju	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Itabaiana - Desportiva Aracaju	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Dorense	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Gloriense - Desportiva Aracaju	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Confiança	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTL
- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
31.01.26	Sergipe - Confiança	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Falcon - Sergipe	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Itabaiana - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Sergipe - Guarany de Porto da Folha	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	América de Propriá - Sergipe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWTT

Desportiva Aracaju - Sergipe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide