Match Info
Sergipano - Round 9Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Atlético Gloriense |
|
Dorense |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.1 |
4.05 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.22 |
4.05 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.25 |
4.1 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.22 |
4.24 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.33 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.22 ↓
(3.25) |
4.06 ↑
(4.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Gloriense
49.5% | Draw
28.1% | Dorense
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Gloriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Dorense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Gloriense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Gloriense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)Atlético Gloriense - Dorense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 79', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).Atlético Gloriense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Dorense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Atlético Gloriense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Atlético Gloriense is seen as the favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Gloriense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home match between the teams, Atlético Gloriense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano | | | 10.02.24 | Dorense - Atlético Gloriense | 1:0 | | 04.03.23 | Dorense - Atlético Gloriense | 0:0 | | 03.04.21 | Dorense - Atlético Gloriense | 2:3 | | 02.03.21 | Atlético Gloriense - Dorense | 0:0 |
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