Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Grau		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.15	4.5	Watch
	1.91	3.23	4.66
	1.84	3.28	4.62	Watch
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.85	3.22	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	3.2 ↓ (3.57)	4.48 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
50.4%

Draw
28.9%

Cajamarca
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

25.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Atlético Grau - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 6. Rodas E. 29. Franco E. 13. Oncoy F. 11. Delgadillo N. 7. Barreto D. 22. Neira C. 19. Camargo I.	1. Mosquera C. (G) 44. Gomez C. 14. Rodas A. 22. Almiron M. 13. Lagos R. 20. Meza C. 6. Miguez P. (C) 23. Andrade T. 93. Rodriguez A. 7. Pineau S. 11. Arrasco M.
Substitutes
16. Ataupillco J. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 66. de la Cruz A. 10. de la Cruz P. 26. Flores A. 32. Torres S. 20. Vásquez C. 17. Villegas H.	32. Alegria P. 12. Aspajo S. (G) 9. Barcos H. 5. Bernaola B. 27. Betancourt J. 15. Gallardo J. 18. Orejuela J. G. 17. Palacios B. 26. Timana H.
Coaches
Comizzo A.	Silvestri C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Alvarez P. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Tapia R. 🟨,
42', Neira C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pineau S. ↓, Orejuela J. G. ↑,
52', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez A. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
57', Miguez P. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
60', Camargo I. 🟨,
69', Camargo I. ↓, Vásquez C. ↑,
69', Franco E. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
73', Barreto D. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
73', Delgadillo N. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
75', Arrasco M. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
84', Neira C. ↓, Espinoza H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).

Grau is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cajamarca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Grau is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Suspended) Medina J. (Broken Hand)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Sport Boys - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTT

Atlético Grau - Cajamarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide