Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.05
	1.97	3.35	4.13
	1.91	3.36	4.15	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.97	3.1	4.11	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.24)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	4.08 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
48.2%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Grau
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Cajamarca - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (G) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 2. Duarte B. 13. Caro D. 88. Arce L. 8. Dioses D. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 19. Munoz A. 9. de Jesus M.	1. Alvarez P. (G) 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 6. Rodas E. 29. Franco E. 5. Guarderas R. 22. Neira C. 7. Barreto D. 20. Vasquez A. 9. Ruidiaz R.
Substitutes
29. Barrios I. (G) 15. Cantt J. 16. Figuera A. 18. Galvez S. 3. Ganoza M. 5. Huerto J. 7. Nunez J. 35. Paredes G. 14. Rasmussen M.	16. Ataupillco J. 33. Calderon A. (G) 19. Camargo I. 21. Correa E. 66. de la Cruz A. 17. Espinoza H. 26. Flores A. 13. Oncoy F. 24. Ruidiaz Y.
Coaches
Bustos C.	Comizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lliuya M. ⚽, Dioses D. (A),
38', de Jesus M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barreto D. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
47', Tapia I. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, de Jesus M. (A),
66', Franco E. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
67', Vasquez A. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
73', Serra P. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
73', Camacho D. ↓, Figuera A. ↑,
83', Rodas E. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
83', Arce L. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
83', Dioses D. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
89', Munoz A. ↓, Galvez S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.

Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cajamarca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.11.25	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sport Boys - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTW
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
19.11.25	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Cusco - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.10.25	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	0:2
13.06.25	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	0:2
30.09.24	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	4:0
27.04.24	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	3:2
15.09.23	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	4:2
21.04.23	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:1
23.07.22	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	3:1

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