Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.91	3.4	1.92
	3.98	3.36	1.94	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2
	3.84	3.22	2.01	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	1.96 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
24.2%

Draw
28.2%

FBC Melgar
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.2%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Cajamarca - FBC Melgar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melgar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera C. (G) 14. Rodas A. 6. Miguez P. (C) 22. Almiron M. 13. Lagos R. 18. Orejuela J. G. 15. Gallardo J. 93. Rodriguez A. 23. Andrade T. 20. Meza C. 7. Pineau S.	12. Caceda C. (G) 33. Lazo M. 5. Deneumostier A. 90. Jesus Alcantar 45. Zegarra M. 6. Salas J. 22. Erustes P. 24. Tandazo W. 8. Guzman L. 7. Bordacahar C. 9. Cuesta B. (C)
Substitutes
11. Arrasco M. 12. Aspajo S. (G) 9. Barcos H. 5. Bernaola B. 27. Betancourt J. 44. Gomez C. 67. Paico K. 17. Palacios B. 26. Timana H.	27. Cabanillas N. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 80. D'Arrigo J. 14. Gamero Y. 36. Nunez P. 4. Ramos A. 11. Vidales J. 40. Yabiku R. 77. Zanelatto F.
Coaches
Silvestri C.	Reynoso J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Almiron M. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Deneumostier A. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pineau S. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
57', Meza C. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
59', Erustes P. ↓, Vidales J. ↑,
59', Guzman L. ↓, Gamero Y. ↑,
70', Orejuela J. G. ↓, Arrasco M. ↑,
70', Gallardo J. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
76', Almiron M. ↓, Bernaola B. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Andrade T. (A),
81', Tandazo W. 🟨,
82', Tandazo W. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
82', Andrade T. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Arrasco M. (A),
90+1', Zegarra M. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
90+1', Bordacahar C. ↓, Yabiku R. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽,
90+4', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Melgar is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Medina J. (Broken Hand)

There will not play in Melgar: Bernaola G. (Injury) Quagliata N. (Muscle Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
15.02.26	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
02.11.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWW
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
15.02.26	FBC Melgar - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.10.25	Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWT

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