Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 5

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	21:00	Disney+
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	21:00	Disney+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Disney+
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Disney+
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Estonia	22:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	Disney+
Greece	22:00	Disney+
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	Disney+
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	Disney+
Kazakhstan	02:00	Disney+
Kosovo	21:00	Disney+
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	14:00	TVC Deportes 2
Netherlands	21:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Disney+
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Disney+
Romania	22:00	Disney+
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Disney+
Spain	21:00	Disney+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	Disney+
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+


	Atlético Madrid		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.1	1.65
	4.15	3.95	1.7
	4.12	4.13	1.72
	3.91	4.35	1.73	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.7
	4.08	4.23	1.67
	4	4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.5)	4.07 ↓ (4.1)	1.7 (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
23.2%

Draw
22.6%

Bayern Munich
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

21.8%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

22%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 15. Lloris S. 4. Lauren Leal 11. Menayo C. 3. Medina A. 8. Garcia G. 6. Boe Risa V. 21. Iannuzzi F. 23. Alexia 20. Sarriegi A. 22. Luany	32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 2. Gilles V. 20. Kett F. 27. Caruso A. 18. Tanikawa M. 10. Dallmann L. 21. Harder P. 17. Buhl K. 9. Damnjanovic J.
Substitutes
17. Bartel J. 31. Bucero A. (G) 28. Gomez C. 46. Gutierrez D. 7. Jensen S. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 14. Otermin R. 5. Perez X. 19. Portales Nieto M. 35. Redondo C. 41. Rodriguez L.	3. Ballisager S. 5. Eriksson M. 1. Grohs M. (G) 6. Hansen T. 38. Klink A. (G) 11. Schuller L. 14. Sehitler A. 30. Simon C.
Coaches
Alba V.	Barcala J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Boe Risa V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Gwinn G. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 1 - 1, Harder P. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
64', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
64', Sarriegi A. ↓, Jensen S. ↑,
66', Garcia G. 🟨,
66', Damnjanovic J. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
66', Kett F. ↓, Simon C. ↑,
75', Tanikawa M. 🟨,
78', Tanikawa M. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,
78', Dallmann L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Harder P. ⚽,
88', Lloris S. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Iannuzzi F. ⚽, Luany (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Atlético Madrid have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlético Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bayern will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
06.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Twente - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
16.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Badalona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
12.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWL
- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
07.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
23.11.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
12.11.25	Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
07.11.25	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

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