Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.71	3.1	2.71
	2.72	3.05	2.71
	2.66	3.14	2.59
	2.55	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.94)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
35.2%

Draw
29.8%

Málaga
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

28.6%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Atlético Madrid B - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 27. Bonar J. 15. Martinez D. 4. Gomez M. 22. Perez P. 23. Gismera A. 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 7. Bri D. 8. Mini 11. El Jebari S. 17. Nino A.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 16. Rodriguez G. 12. Molina M. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
18. Aguilar Lopez G. 14. Arumi J. 10. Calatrava A. 2. Halhal R. 20. Maroto M. 19. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 21. Raihani A. 9. Touaizi N.	9. Aviles J. 17. Dioni 6. Enriquez R. 7. Ferreiro D. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Mini 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
35', Bonar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Rodriguez G. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
63', Villodres K. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
63', El Jebari S. ↓, Calatrava A. ↑,
63', Mini ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
67', Gabilondo J. ↓, Moussa D. ↑,
75', Ndiaye Dione A. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
76', Larrubia D. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
76', Lorenzo D. ↓, Dioni ↑,
82', Nino A. ↓, Raihani A. ↑,
82', Martinez D. ↓, Aguilar Lopez G. ↑,
87', Maroto M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Atlético Madrid B is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Málaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.04.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Granada B - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWT
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.04.24	Málaga - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Málaga - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Algeciras - Málaga	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Málaga - Intercity	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Málaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.09.23	Málaga - Atlético Madrid B	2:1

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