Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.4	3	3	Watch
	2.4	3	3.23
	2.39	2.98	3.23
	2.37	3.01	3.06
	2.3	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
39.3%

Draw
31%

Mérida AD
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Melilla - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 12. Macias A. 5. Selasi R. 4. Suarez D. 18. Siddiki O. 9. Jose Enrique 7. Morillo V. 15. Kavtaradze B.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 22. Bourdal T. 4. Bonaque M. 21. Llacer L. 23. Rodriguez D. 5. Acosta L. 15. Juanjo 7. Sandoval D. 9. Chuma 11. Mizzian M.
Substitutes
22. Alassan A. 11. Bandaogo A. 8. Cotan A. 20. Garcia D. 10. Gonzalez J. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Koffi 21. Mateo J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 23. Niang M. 24. Victores A. (G) 3. Yuste A.	17. Alvaro J. 20. Elejalde I. 12. Falcon E. 6. Gutierrez I. 16. Martin J. 2. Midon D. 8. Ndongo N. 3. Prada R. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Kavtaradze B. ⚽,
24', Acosta L. 🟨,
45+5', Bourdal T. ↓, Falcon E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Juanjo ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
62', Mizzian M. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
67', Kavtaradze B. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
76', Jose Enrique ↓, Niang M. ↑,
78', 🟨,
81', Llacer L. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
81', Acosta L. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
85', Selasi R. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
85', Siddiki O. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
88', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Morillo V. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Melilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Melilla won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.04.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ibiza - Melilla	4:3 ✺
31.03.24	Melilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Melilla - Granada B	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTTW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.04.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Granada B - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Mérida AD - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
24.03.24	Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.23	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Melilla - Mérida AD	2:0
08.11.20	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.04.18	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:1
19.11.17	Melilla - Mérida AD	0:1
22.01.17	Mérida AD - Melilla	0:0
04.09.16	Melilla - Mérida AD	4:0

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