Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	7
	1.43	3.9	6.25
	1.45	4	7
	1.47	4.18	6.87
	1.47	4.19	6.87
	1.45	4.1	6.89
	1.44	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)	3.99 ↑ (3.4)	6.78 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
63.4%

Draw
23.1%

Linares Deportivo
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

26.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

25.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Málaga - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 7. Ferreiro D. 12. Molina M. 10. Larrubia D. 8. Juanpe 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 12. Marin A. 4. Molina M. 3. Varela F. 14. Corral S. 5. Rentero J. 15. Duarte J. 8. Rodri 21. Llorente R. 9. Vazquez A.
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 17. Dioni 6. Enriquez R. 2. Gabilondo J. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 5. Juande 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.	11. Berlanga M. 20. Buyla J. 30. Carrillo M. 7. Diaz H. 27. Fernandez I. 2. Gonzalez F. 28. Guzman G. 6. Moreno A. 23. Panadero G. 25. Sanchez F. 29. Zaki

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Rentero J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Perejon D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juanpe ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
46', Larrubia D. ↓, Dioni ↑,
46', Garcia V. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
58', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
61', Herrero A. 🟨,
69', Sanchez D. 🟨,
71', Duarte J. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
71', Corral S. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
78', Villodres K. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
78', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
78', Rentero J. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
88', Moreno A. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Linares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Linares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Málaga is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Málaga to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.24	Algeciras - Málaga	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Málaga - Intercity	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Málaga	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Málaga - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Alcoyano - Málaga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTWW
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Intercity - Linares Deportivo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Málaga	0:1

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