The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Branco de Americana 47.2%
Draw 29.6%
Comercial SP 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54%
26.1%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
26.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Branco de Americana's form might have worsened.
Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco de Americana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Rio Branco de Americana - Comercial SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Luketa ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Jean Pablo ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, Felipe Muranga ⚽,
69', Luizao 🟥,
90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
Rio Branco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Comercial SP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Comercial SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Watch
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