Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Atlético Monte Azul		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.81	3.16	4.54	Watch
	1.76	3.08	4.85
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)	4.54 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
50.7%

Draw
29.4%

Itapirense
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

30.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Monte Azul's performance.

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Atlético Monte Azul - Itapirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Paulo Vitor ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Bruno Negueba ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Rian Felipe ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Santos R. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 2, Carlinhos ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Monte Azul is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Itapirense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Monte Azul is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monte Azul won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	União São João - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTW
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	EC São Bernardo - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Itapirense - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Itapirense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0
18.01.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	1:2

Atlético Monte Azul - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide