Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Morelos (Morelia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Morelia		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.00	4.50
	1.62	3.85	4.40	Watch
	1.61	4.45	5.14
	1.79	3.93	3.99	Watch
	1.59	4.10	5.05
	1.56	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.52	4.20	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	4.14 ↑ (3.98)	4.69 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Morelia
57.8%

Draw
22.4%

Correcaminos UAT
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Correcaminos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 2. Lopez Aburto R. 5. Van Rankin J. 6. De Buen D. (C) 16. Sandoval R. 13. Andrade A. 4. Zamora D. 11. Lopez V. 20. Aguilar D. 17. Nambo M. 9. del Campo R.	24. Resendez E. (G) 2. Ortega W. 13. Moreno G. 6. Ruiz A. 3. Perez O. 32. Sandoval T. 7. Islas O. 8. Torres D. (C) 10. Guzman W. 33. Mina D. 11. Uribe Y.
Substitutes
15. Botello O. 21. Castellanos E. 14. Castellanos R. 30. Conejo J. 10. Dominguez M. 28. Flores A. 1. Galan R. (G) 32. Izarra A. 19. Rodriguez M. 7. Romero P.	101. Aguilar A. 28. Arce R. 19. Catalan A. 20. Estopier J. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 29. Mendoza B. 5. Monarrez A. 1. Perez E. (G) 14. Sosa C. 17. Zapata J.
Coaches
Ortiz M.	Pereyra G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Aguilar D. 🟨,
15', Uribe Y. 🟨,
15', De Buen D. 🟨,
22', Zamora D. 🟨,
29', Torres D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Sandoval T. ⚽, Islas O. (A),
45+6', Van Rankin J. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lopez V. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
58', Guzman W. 🟨,
58', Mina D. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
60', Aguilar D. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Mendoza B. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
74', 0 - 3, Islas O. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
75', Nambo M. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
75', Sandoval R. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
78', Moreno G. ↓, Sosa C. ↑,
78', Uribe Y. ↓, Gomez Del Rosal N. ↑,
78', Sandoval T. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
82', Islas O. ↓, Arce R. ↑,
88', Zapata J. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Flores A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.

Atlético Morelia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Correcaminos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético Morelia is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Morelia	11	7	1	3	21:12	9	22
9	Correcaminos	11	4	4	3	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Atlético Morelia	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWT
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.08.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío	2:3 ✺
06.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.01.26	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:0
01.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1
29.03.25	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:2
10.10.24	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	3:0
20.02.24	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	3:1
13.08.23	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	2:0
14.02.23	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1

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