Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 10 de Diciembre (Jasso)

Referee: Miranda E. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cruz Azul Hidalgo		Atlético Morelia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.65	3.35	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.55	2.4
	2.81	3.49	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.35
	2.98	3.38	2.29	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.52)	3.42 ↑ (3.16)	2.34 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
33.4%

Draw
27.1%

Atlético Morelia
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Atlético Morelia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ochoa E. (G) 56. Montes J. 222. Villegas E. 70. Silva I. 28. Rubio R. (C) 47. De Los Rios S. 58. Sanchez E. 41. Derbez L. 183. Palacios K. 27. Gamboa B. 63. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.	22. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 2. Lopez Aburto R. 5. Van Rankin J. 6. De Buen D. 16. Sandoval R. 13. Andrade A. 8. Martinez J. (C) 11. Lopez V. 20. Aguilar D. 17. Nambo M. 9. del Campo R.
Substitutes
48. Calixto Nicolas (G) 69. Cubillas A. 51. de Jesus L. 50. Gonzalez K. 44. Leon C. 59. Ramirez D. 45. Samano L. 53. Taboada V. 68. Valdivia C.	15. Botello O. 21. Castellanos E. 30. Conejo J. 10. Dominguez M. 1. Galan R. (G) 32. Izarra A. 19. Rodriguez M. 7. Romero P. 35. Sanchez Cruz E. S. 4. Zamora D.
Coaches
Landazabal E.	Ortiz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Nambo M. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
40', Aguilar D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↓, Samano L. ↑,
46', Sanchez E. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
46', Palacios K. ↓, Valdivia C. ↑,
47', Derbez L. 🟨,
53', Rubio R. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, De Buen D. ⚽, Aguilar D. (A),
59', Aguilar D. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
59', Lopez V. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
59', Villegas E. ↓, Leon C. ↑,
72', Nambo M. ↓, Zamora D. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Lopez Aburto R. (Own goal),
82', Montes J. ↓, Taboada V. ↑,
82', Sandoval R. ↓, Botello O. ↑,
82', Andrade A. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
87', Taboada V. 🟨,
90+4', Martinez J. 🟨,

Preview

Cruz Azul Hidalgo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Morelia	11	7	1	3	21:12	9	22
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11:18	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Venados	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tapatío - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.05.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Irapuato	1:1 ✺
09.05.21	Irapuato - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTTLT
- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.08.26	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.04.26	Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWTW

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