The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 37.8%
Draw 30.7%
Atlético Nacional 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
30.3%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
29.6%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Millonarios - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Rodriguez J. (G) 13. Leal M. 26. Benavides M. 14. Carabali E. 17. Tamayo L. 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 11. Salazar L. (C) 16. Gomez L. 79. Restrepo K. 4. Bolano L. 7. Celis D.
22. Castano S. (G) 6. Ocampo L. 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 5. Cedeno S. 7. Martinez S. 8. Moreno M. 10. Alvarez L. 21. Ibarguen K. 9. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
15. Calvo L. 12. Gamboa D. (G) 99. Garrido E. 25. Olaya R. 9. Sanchez I. 27. Valencia K. 23. Vera S.
11. Builes S. 28. Corena J. 4. Isaza E. 26. Munera M. (G) 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 18. Sterling M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Alvarez L. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Ocampo L. (A),
41', Leal M. 🟨,
41', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
42', Salazar L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alvarez L. ↓, Corena J. ↑,
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Robayo L. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Celis D. ⚽, Castaneda Vanegas A. J. (A),
60', Leal M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Restrepo K. ⚽,
67', Tamayo L. 🟨,
68', Sanchez I. 🟨,
69', Martinez S. 🟨,
71', Cedeno S. ↓, Orrego S. ↑,
74', Valencia K. 🟨,
77', Moreno M. ↓, Sterling M. ↑,
85', Restrepo K. ↓, Calvo L. ↑,
85', Garcia S. ↓, Isaza E. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Millonarios is Qualified for Liga Women (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.
Millonarios is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Colombia
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Rodriguez J. (G) 
Benavides M. 
Zambrano A. 
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