The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 72.4%
Draw 18%
Inter Palmira 9.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
21.5%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
18.4%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
Inter Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Atlético Nacional - Inter Palmira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Castano S. (G) 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 6. Ocampo L. 4. Isaza E. 8. Moreno M. 5. Cedeno S. 21. Ibarguen K. 9. Gonzalez M. 7. Martinez S.
12. Aguilar A. (G) 2. Vasquez S. 5. Guzman D. 16. Montano L. 26. Ruiz D. 6. Caro J. 7. Urrutia K. 8. Montano K. 19. Zarabia C. 17. Camayo V. 11. Perez L.
Substitutes
11. Builes S. 24. Cabeza D. 28. Corena J. 26. Munera M. (G) 27. Orozco M. 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 18. Sterling M. 23. Torres Z.
15. Caicedo A. 9. Caicedo S. 18. Castillo M. 20. Pavas A. 21. Pavi V. 30. Santamaria L. 10. Vidal I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Moreno M. (Own goal),
38', Cedeno S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Moreno M. ↓, Corena J. ↑,
46', Ruiz D. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Ocampo L. (A),
51', Caicedo A. 🟨,
57', Corena J. 🟨,
58', Camayo V. ↓, Caicedo S. ↑,
58', Perez L. ↓, Vidal I. ↑,
63', Gonzalez M. ↓, Orrego S. ↑,
63', Isaza E. ↓, Sterling M. ↑,
74', Urrutia K. ↓, Pavi V. ↑,
76', Zarabia C. 🟨,
87', Montano K. 🟨,
89', Sterling M. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
90+4', Montano K. 🟨,
90+4', Montano K. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 1, Corena J. ⚽, Martinez S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Watch
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Castano S. (G) 
Zambrano A. 
Zarabia C. 
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