The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guijuelo 49.9%
Draw 29%
Santa Marta Tormes 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
27.9%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
27.3%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guijuelo's performance.
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Marta Tormes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guijuelo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Marta Tormes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guijuelo - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Garcia H. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guijuelo won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Recently, Santa Marta Tormes has had a series of home games.
Guijuelo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guijuelo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home match between the teams, Guijuelo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Santa Marta Tormes
5
4
0
1
8:4
4
12
14
Guijuelo
4
1
0
3
4:5
-1
3
Last Results with these Odds
Santa Marta Tormes - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.37%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.