Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday


	Atlético Tucumán		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.95	3.9
	2	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.09	4.32
	1.93	3.09	4.32
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.93	3.13	4.17	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.76)	3.12 ↓ (3.38)	4.19 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
48.2%

Draw
29.7%

Defensores de Belgrano
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Atlético Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Bajamich M. ⚽,
84', 2 - 0, Estigarribia M. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Castro T. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, Castro T. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Atlético Tucumán is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Defensores de Belgrano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Tucumán could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Tucumán is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	4:1 ✺
06.03.24	Atlético Tucumán - Banfield	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
26.02.24	Central Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTT
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.24	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores de Belgrano	1:4 ✺
09.03.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
23.02.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
10.07.16	Atlético Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1

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