Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.75
	1.78	3.2	4.5
	1.8	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.27	5.03
	1.84	3.27	5.03
	1.75	3.25	4.75
	1.8	3.22	4.71
	1.79	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.88)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)	4.73 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
51.7%

Draw
28.5%

Club Almagro
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensores de Belgrano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Massaccesi A. 2. Laumann F. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Sanchez S. 8. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 10. Salto C. 11. Gomez B. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Moyano P.	1. Champagne N. (G) 4. Basualdo N. 2. Mattia F. 6. Falabella L. 3. Punet L. 8. Rodriguez L. 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Perez P. 11. Vasquez D. 7. Mendoza J. 9. Leal L.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Paparatto N.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 3.

Defensores de Belgrano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Almagro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almagro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Defensores de Belgrano to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
23.02.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	0:4 ✺
11.02.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTWWW
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Club Almagro - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Temperley - Club Almagro	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1
18.02.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Club Almagro	1:0
23.03.22	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1
09.10.21	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0
17.06.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Club Almagro	1:0
15.10.19	Defensores de Belgrano - Club Almagro	1:1
17.03.19	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0

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