Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensores de Belgrano		Temperley

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	4.1	Watch
	2.3	2.65	3.4
	2.23	2.7	3.8	Watch
	2.17	2.8	4.62
	2.4	2.59	3.81	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.8
	2.35	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.17	2.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	2.74 ↓ (3.1)	3.87 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
41.9%

Draw
34%

Temperley
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Temperley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Temperley will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Rodriguez F. 5. Laba M. 8. Gomez B. 10. Benitez A. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Pons F.	1. Mastrolia E. (G) 2. Lucero L. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Aguinagalde V. 4. Monti L. 8. Toledo A. 5. Arregui A. 7. Brandan F. 11. Milo F. 10. Pombo C. 9. Toledo J.
Substitutes
17. Borsotti N. 15. Correa L. 13. Gamarra G. 19. Gonzalez E. 16. Gutierrez I. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Pugliese G. 14. Segovia J. 20. Vecchio E.	19. Carrasco J. 12. Diaz V. (G) 13. Duarte B. 14. Genez N. 17. Hauche G. 20. Lopez L. 15. Magallanes D. 18. Nieto L. 16. Richarte L.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Milo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Milo F. ↓, Genez N. ↑,
52', Benitez A. 🟨,
64', Pombo C. ↓, Nieto L. ↑,
64', Toledo J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
64', Brandan F. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
67', Gomez B. ↓, Vecchio E. ↑,
67', Benitez A. ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,
69', Lamosa A. 🟨,
72', Lucero L. 🟨,
81', Aguirre E. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
84', Moyano P. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
85', Aguinagalde V. 🟨,
88', Aguinagalde V. 🟨,
90', Toledo A. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores won 0.

Defensores is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Temperley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensores will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Defensores won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Copa Argentina
17.04.25	Barracas Central - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.25	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWLT
- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Temperley - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	San Telmo - Temperley	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Temperley - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.07.24	Temperley - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
23.02.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:0
10.06.23	Temperley - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1
04.02.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	1:1
18.02.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:2
12.12.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:0

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