Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlético Tucumán		Racing

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.85	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3	2.35
	2.95	2.85	2.7	Watch
	3.17	2.95	2.65
	3.02	2.92	2.63	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.45
	3.42	2.94	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.6)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	2.53 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
30%

Draw
32.6%

Racing
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30.3%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

29.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Atlético Tucumán - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Racing will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético Tucumán (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Racing (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Racing (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. (C) 6. Ferrari G. 20. Suso G. 36. Vallejo L. 21. Galvan I. 5. Dominguez J. 45. Ortiz K. 11. Tesuri R. 7. Martin Benitez 35. Abeldano G.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 3. Di Cesare M. 18. Pardo F. 27. Rojas G. 13. Sosa S. (C) 11. Zaracho M. 24. Fernandez A. 28. Solari S. 14. Pizarro D. 7. Vergara D.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 10. Franco N. 37. Godoy E. 31. Godoy L. 8. Ham E. 23. Lamendola N. 2. Paunero R. 38. Posse J. 34. Roman L.	23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 8. Forneris A. 2. Garcia A. 45. Perez E. 58. Perez T. 19. Rodriguez I. 34. Rubio T. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 46. Tello A. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Gonzalez R.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Abeldano G. 🟨,
22', Fernandez A. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Vergara D. ⚽, Pizarro D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Vergara D. 🟨,
59', Pizarro D. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
62', Martin Benitez ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
65', Cambeses F. 🟨,
71', Dominguez J. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
71', Tesuri R. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
72', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
78', Zaracho M. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
78', Pardo F. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
79', Abeldano G. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,
80', Vallejo L. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Vergara D. ⚽, Zuculini B. (A),
84', Fernandez A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
84', Vergara D. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 3, Solari S. ⚽, Conechny T. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.

Atlético Tucumán is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Racing might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Diaz L. (Hamstring Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Miljevic M. (Red Card) Pizarro D. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tucumán - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.68%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Racing - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.02%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.26	Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Tucumán - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.26	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Banfield - Racing	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Tigre - Racing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.09.24	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	1:0
24.04.23	Racing - Atlético Tucumán	1:3
10.10.22	Racing - Atlético Tucumán	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.03.22	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.11.21	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.11.20	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	2:0
01.11.20	Racing - Atlético Tucumán	1:4

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