Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.6
	1.88	3.3	4.35	Watch
	1.89	3.28	5.19
	1.83	3.25	5.04	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.4
	1.92	3.45	4.35	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.67)	3.31 ↓ (3.58)	4.77 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
51.7%

Draw
28.5%

Independiente Rivadavia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Racing - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Independiente R (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 18. Pardo F. 3. Di Cesare M. 27. Rojas G. 36. Zuculini B. 13. Sosa S. (C) 24. Fernandez A. 10. Miljevic M. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez	30. Bolcato N. (G) 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 13. Osella A. 3. Elordi J. M. 11. Rios G. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
21. Carboni V. 23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 8. Forneris A. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 58. Perez T. 20. Rodriguez B. 19. Rodriguez I. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 11. Zaracho M.	15. Arena N. 19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 17. Dadin B. 14. Gomez L. 12. Macagno R. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Ramis V. 32. Vazquez K. A.
Coaches
Costas G.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Miljevic M. 🟨,
31', Miljevic M. 🟨,
36', Solari S. 🟨,
41', Adrian Martinez ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Rios G. (A),
64', Zuculini B. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
64', Solari S. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
68', Fernandez M. 🟨,
68', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
68', Rios G. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
69', Villalba I. 🟨,
77', Fernandez A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Conechny T. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
81', Osella A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
81', Villalba I. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
82', Villa S. 🟨,
88', Sartori F. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente R is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

There will not play in Racing: Pizarro D. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A. (Broken collarbone)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Banfield - Racing	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Tigre - Racing	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Racing - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.10.25	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
27.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing	2:1
10.11.24	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1

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