Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Action 24
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.5
	2.3	2.92	3.5	Watch
	2.35	3	3.76
	2.28	2.97	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.3
	2.26	2.91	3.55	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.78)	2.97 ↓ (3.22)	3.7 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
42.7%

Draw
31.8%

Racing
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Boca Juniors - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 23. Weigandt M. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 30. Belmonte T. 25. Ascacibar S. 18. Delgado M. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 10. Cavani E. (C) 16. Miguel Merentiel	25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 3. Di Cesare M. 6. Rojo M. 27. Rojas G. 20. Rodriguez B. 13. Sosa S. (C) 10. Miljevic M. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez 17. Conechny T.
Substitutes
29. Angel Romero 36. Aranda T. 24. Barinaga J. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 4. Figal J. 37. Gelini G. 11. Janson L. 19. Martegani A. 26. Pellegrino M. 22. Zenon K. 41. Zufiaurre I.	21. Carboni V. 23. Colombo N. 24. Fernandez A. 8. Forneris A. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 18. Pardo F. 19. Rodriguez I. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 11. Zaracho M. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sosa S. 🟨,
19', Costa A. 🟨,
19', Miljevic M. 🟨,
43', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
45+2', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rojo M. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
62', Miljevic M. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
62', Conechny T. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
62', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gelini G. ↑,
62', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
67', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
75', Pardo F. 🟨,
79', Cavani E. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
79', Belmonte T. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
88', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
89', Solari S. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Thigh Injury) Herrera A. (Inactive) Velasco A. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Racing: Colombo N. (Knock) Garcia A. (Inactive) Rodriguez I. (Ankle Injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.26	Boca Juniors - Platense	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.26	Banfield - Racing	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Tigre - Racing	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Racing - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Racing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.12.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:1
09.08.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	1:1
08.02.25	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:0
14.09.24	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.03.24	Boca Juniors - Racing	4:2
24.10.23	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:1
Copa Libertadores
30.08.23	Racing - Boca Juniors	0:1 penalties

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