Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	AFA Play, HBO Max, TNT Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Atlético Tucumán		River Plate

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.10	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.00	2.10
	3.85	3.15	2.04	Watch
	4.23	3.13	2.11
	3.66	3.21	2.14	Watch
	4.15	3.05	2.07
	3.91	3.04	2.14	Watch
	3.90	3.00	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.08)	3.09 ↓ (3.09)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
23.7%

Draw
30.7%

River Plate
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

30.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

29.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 20%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético Tucumán (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - under (5.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.92) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.18) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 36. Vallejo L. 21. Galvan I. 19. Vega L. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 31. Godoy L. 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Diaz L.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 23. Almada T. 50. Andrada T. 10. Correa A. 26. Galvan T. 9. Driussi S.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 14. Canelo A. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 5. Fernandez J. 6. Ferrari G. 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 32. Infante J. 22. Pimienta F. 18. Ruiz R. 3. Villa M.	8. Arambarri M. 18. Beltran L. 19. Borre R. 33. Centurion E. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 43. Lucero V. 24. Meza J. 3. Ortega F. 25. Pereyra L. 2. Ramirez T. 13. Rivero L. 44. Silva L.
Coaches
Falcioni J.	Ponzio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Franco N. 🟥,
22', 0 - 1, Andrada T. ⚽, Montiel G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tesuri R. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
46', Diaz L. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
53', Andrada T. ↓, Arambarri M. ↑,
65', Fernandez J. 🟨,
72', Driussi S. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
73', Galvan T. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
73', Di Placido L. 🟨,
73', Lamendola N. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
76', Arambarri M. 🟨,
76', Falcioni J. 🟥,
82', Acuna M. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ⚽, Godoy L. (A),
87', Godoy L. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Almada T. ⚽, Beltran L. (A),
90+4', Correa A. ↓, Borre R. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.

Atlético Tucumán is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

River Plate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

River Plate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Martin Benitez (Muscle Injury) Ortiz K. (Inactive) Suso G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Moreno A. (Inactive) Portillo J. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.09.26	Racing - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTTWW
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.09.26	River Plate - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Banfield - River Plate	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.08.26	River Plate - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	0:1
20.09.25	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	2:0
09.03.25	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
13.09.24	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	4:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.24	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	0:0
21.09.23	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.23	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	1:1

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