Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Banfield		River Plate

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.6	1.57	Watch
	5.75	3.70	1.60
	6.3	3.45	1.62	Watch
	6.34	3.79	1.63
	5.72	3.66	1.65	Watch
	6.15	3.65	1.6
	5.9	3.61	1.65	Watch
	6	3.65	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (5.2)	3.64 ↑ (3.25)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banfield
15.6%

Draw
25.9%

River Plate
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

28.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Banfield - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 2 - 20%). River Plate will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - River Plate (1.87) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 24. Lopez S. 37. Malanca R. 13. Oviedo B. (C) 6. Meriano N. 27. Abraham I. 18. Medina F. 20. Adoryan T. 35. Pais N. 22. Machado A. 28. Hernandez M.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 50. Andrada T. 23. Almada T. 10. Correa A. 26. Galvan T. 9. Driussi S.
Substitutes
4. Alfaro J. L. 11. Alvarez F. 30. Anselmo F. 70. Arteaga M. 19. Cano L. 2. Daniele S. 5. Esquivel S. 10. Gomez L. 7. Pinero L. 25. Santilli G. (G) 9. Sepulveda B. 40. Zalazar D.	8. Arambarri M. 18. Beltran L. 19. Borre R. 33. Centurion E. (G) 35. Freitas J. 20. Gonzalez G. 24. Meza J. 3. Ortega F. 25. Pereyra L. 13. Rivero L. 44. Silva L.
Coaches
Troglio P.	Ponzio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Almada T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Medina F. ↓, Pinero L. ↑,
57', Hernandez M. ↓, Sepulveda B. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Sepulveda B. ⚽,
66', Sepulveda B. 🟨,
69', Driussi S. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
69', Montiel G. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Correa A. ⚽, Galvan T. (A),
76', Adoryan T. ↓, Zalazar D. ↑,
76', Pais N. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
80', Machado A. ↓, Anselmo F. ↑,
82', Acuna M. ↓, Ortega F. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Sepulveda B. ⚽, Pinero L. (A),
88', Martinez Quarta L. ↓, Rivero L. ↑,
88', Andrada T. ↓, Arambarri M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banfield won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, River Plate is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Banfield: Rodriguez D. (Inactive)

There will not play in River Plate: Portillo J. (Knee Injury) Ramirez T. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Banfield won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Banfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.22%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Banfield	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.08.26	Banfield - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.08.26	Racing - Banfield	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Banfield - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Banfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLT
- River Plate
Copa Sudamericana
26.08.26	River Plate - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tigre - River Plate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.26	River Plate - Banfield	3:1
02.11.24	River Plate - Banfield	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.02.24	River Plate - Banfield	1:1
24.09.23	Banfield - River Plate	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.23	Banfield - River Plate	1:4
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
22.02.23	River Plate - Banfield	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.22	River Plate - Banfield	1:2

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