Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, FOX Sports, TNT Sports, TyC Sports
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Colombia	ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	River Plate		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.40	5.75	Watch
	1.73	3.40	4.80
	1.65	3.60	5.40	Watch
	1.72	3.47	5.70
	1.75	3.47	5.17	Watch
	1.68	3.40	5.25
	1.72	3.51	5.35	Watch
	1.70	3.50	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)	5.35 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
55.3%

Draw
27.1%

Independiente Rivadavia
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

27%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

River Plate - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 50. Andrada T. 23. Almada T. 26. Galvan T. 10. Correa A. 9. Driussi S.	30. Bolcato N. (G) 13. Osella A. 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 3. Elordi J. M. 11. Rios G. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 9. Arce A.
Substitutes
8. Arambarri M. 18. Beltran L. 19. Borre R. 33. Centurion E. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 43. Lucero V. 24. Meza J. 3. Ortega F. 25. Pereyra L. 2. Ramirez T. 13. Rivero L. 44. Silva L.	19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 23. Diaz L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Ramis V. 45. Sabato L. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A.
Coaches
Ponzio L.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Fernandez M. 🟨,
29', Arce A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Montiel G. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Villalba I. 🟨,
40', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,
43', Otamendi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Galvan T. ⚽,
57', Sartori F. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
57', Rios G. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
66', Osella A. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Arce A. ⚽, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. (A),
70', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
77', Andrada T. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
77', Driussi S. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Galvan T. ⚽, Beltran L. (A),
81', Acuna M. ↓, Ortega F. ↑,
89', Bottari T. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
89', Correa A. ↓, Arambarri M. ↑,
89', Galvan T. ↓, Borre R. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, River Plate is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 54.04%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.26	Banfield - River Plate	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.08.26	River Plate - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTW
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.08.26	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:1
Copa Argentina
24.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:0 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.11.24	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.24	River Plate - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0

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