Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Independiente Santa Fe		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.20	2.90	2.37
	3.35	2.72	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.38
	3.43	2.84	2.45	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.4
	3.74	2.77	2.27	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.09)	2.9 ↓ (3.3)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
27.8%

Draw
32.6%

River Plate
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 40%). River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Asprilla W. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 35. Balanta K. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 77. Obrian J. 19. Bustos N. 10. Zapata A. 11. Rodallega H. (C)	41. Beltran S. (G) 28. Martinez Quarta L. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 13. Rivero L. 31. Gonzalez F. 6. Moreno A. 15. Fausto Vera 50. Andrada T. 10. Correa A. 26. Galvan T. 19. Borre R.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 30. Contreras E. (G) 9. Fagundez F. 8. Fernandez O. 17. Lovera M. 14. Palacios L. 39. Portocarrero C. 4. Puerta M. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 7. Torres J. 20. Velasquez Y.	23. Almada T. 52. Asuzu J. 33. Centurion E. (G) 35. Freitas J. 42. Jaroszewicz F. (G) 43. Lucero V. 24. Meza J. 25. Pereyra L. 44. Silva L. 48. Susano A.
Coaches
Repetto P.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Rivero L. 🟨,
45+2', Andrada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Borre R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
62', Galvan T. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
66', Zapata A. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
66', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
75', Bustos N. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
76', Torres D. 🟨,
78', Andrada T. ↓, Lucero V. ↑,
84', Torres D. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
84', Obrian J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
87', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
90+1', Correa A. ↓, Meza J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Santa Fe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

River Plate has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

River Plate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.6%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

River Plate - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
08.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	Caracas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
26.07.26	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tigre - River Plate	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	River Plate - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	River Plate - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

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