The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 14.4%
Draw 24.4%
River Plate 61.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.1%
27.1%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
27%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ayala T. (G) 8. Salle S. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 19. Contrera J. 5. Garcia M. 15. Zabala C. 10. Renteria J. 27. Marabel J. 21. Mavilla J.
41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 50. Andrada T. 23. Almada T. 26. Galvan T. 10. Correa A. 9. Driussi S.
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 23. Gimenez E. 39. Godoy J. 11. Gonzalez G. 24. Herrera J. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 77. Pasquini N. 29. Santamaria T.
8. Arambarri M. 18. Beltran L. 19. Borre R. 33. Centurion E. (G) 27. Espindola S. 20. Gonzalez G. 24. Meza J. 6. Moreno A. 3. Ortega F. 25. Pereyra L. 2. Ramirez T. 13. Rivero L.
Coaches
Sava F.
Ponzio L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Contrera J. ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Magnin P. 🟨,
69', Contrera J. 🟨,
69', Mavilla J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
69', Renteria J. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
70', Andrada T. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
72', Galvan T. ↓, Pereyra L. ↑,
72', Contrera J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
73', Acuna M. ↓, Ortega F. ↑,
82', Fausto Vera 🟨,
85', Driussi S. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
89', Garcia M. 🟨,
90+3', Salle S. ↓, Nadruz A. ↑,
90+4', Marabel J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Bookmakers give the edge to River Plate for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:16 (averaging 0.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarmiento against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:12 goals (averaging 0.5:3 per game).
Argentina
Germany
South America
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Ayala T. (G) 
Orihuela R. 
Renteria J. 
Marabel J. 
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