The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 17.7%
Draw 27.9%
River Plate 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
27.1%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
27%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Bookmakers give the edge to River Plate for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:16 (averaging 0.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarmiento against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:12 goals (averaging 0.5:3 per game).