Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Atlético Unión Güímar		Arucas

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	1.93
	3.05	3.05	2.21
	3	3.01	2.28
	3.2	3.06	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.76)	3.02 ↓ (3.24)	2.16 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Unión Güímar
28.5%

Draw
29.9%

Arucas
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

21.1%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Unión Güímar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Unión Güímar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Unión Güímar - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atlético Unión Güímar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arucas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Unión Güímar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arucas have a series of home games.

Arucas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Unión Güímar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.05.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	0:2 ✺
15.04.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Vera de Puerto Cruz	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Buzanada	1:3 ✺
06.04.21	Santa Úrsula - Atlético Unión Güímar	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Ibarra - Atlético Unión Güímar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLTT
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
12.05.21	Arucas - Ibarra	3:2 ✺
18.04.21	Arucas - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	1:2 ✺
10.04.21	Arucas - UD San Fernando	3:0 ✺
31.03.21	Arucas - Lanzarote	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Las Palmas C - Arucas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WLWWT

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