Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Venezuela		Monagas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.4
	1.72	3.45	3.8
	1.92	3.35	3.45
	1.69	3.51	3.54
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.78	3.74	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.22)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	3.66 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Venezuela
49.3%

Draw
26.1%

Monagas
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

19.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Venezuela's performance.

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monagas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Venezuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monagas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	5.1%	64.1%

Atlético Venezuela - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Atlético Venezuela will win (votes: 12 - 30.8%). Monagas will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monagas: 49% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Atlético Venezuela is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monagas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monagas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Venezuela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Atlético Venezuela won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Venezuela won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.10.21	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	0:3 ✺
01.10.21	Atlético Venezuela - LALA FC	3:1 ✺
24.09.21	Universidad Central - Atlético Venezuela	4:0 ✺
17.09.21	Atlético Venezuela - Mineros de Guayana	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Metropolitanos - Atlético Venezuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWL
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.10.21	Monagas - Caracas	1:3 ✺
30.09.21	Metropolitanos - Monagas	1:2 ✺
23.09.21	LALA FC - Monagas	0:2 ✺
16.09.21	Monagas - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
09.09.21	Mineros de Guayana - Monagas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
05.09.21	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	1:1
17.07.21	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	1:2
27.05.21	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	0:0
29.02.20	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	2:2
13.10.19	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	2:1
21.04.19	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	2:1
28.07.18	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	5:0

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