Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Atlético Venezuela		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.7
	2.7	3.05	2.38
	5.25	3.25	1.67
	5.2	3.5	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (2.81)	3.3 ↑ (3.07)	1.86 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Venezuela
21.3%

Draw
28.4%

Estudiantes de Mérida
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

21.4%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Venezuela's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Mérida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.7%	5.4%	91.9%

Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Atlético Venezuela will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). Estudiantes Mérida will win (votes: 34 - 91.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes Mérida: 83.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).

Atlético Venezuela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estudiantes de Mérida is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estudiantes de Mérida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlético Venezuela won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Venezuela won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.12.20	Trujillanos - Atlético Venezuela	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Yaracuyanos	0:1 ✺
24.11.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Venezuela	2:2 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Atlético Venezuela	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWL
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.12.20	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
02.12.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	3:2 ✺
17.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Trujillanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
07.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	2:0
08.03.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	2:1
06.10.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	1:0
14.04.19	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1
21.10.18	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	3:1
13.05.18	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0
29.10.17	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1

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