Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Deportivo Lara		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.15
	1.97	3.1	3.6
	1.88	2.98	4.18
	2.25	2.88	3.2
	1.88	3.18	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	3 (3)	3.65 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
44.8%

Draw
30.3%

Estudiantes de Mérida
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	55.6%	14.8%

Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Estudiantes Mérida will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deportivo Lara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
19.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
12.08.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
04.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:2 ✺
24.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLT
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.08.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	2:1 ✺
12.08.22	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
28.07.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
27.03.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:0
19.11.21	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:0
31.10.21	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0
07.12.20	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2
03.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	0:1
04.08.19	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1
03.02.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:1

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