Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	2.25	2.78	3.45	Watch
	2.35	2.91	3.69
	2.35	2.8	3.57	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.5
	2.14	2.98	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	2.87 ↑ (2.73)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
41.7%

Draw
32.6%

Agropecuario Argentino
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

33.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Atlético de Rafaela - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Fernandez G. 6. Ponce F. 3. Wuattier E. 11. Nouet F. 5. Soloa F. 10. Fernandez M. 8. Obando A. 9. Albertengo L. 7. Moreno M.	1. Acosta L. (G) 6. Aguirre A. 8. Aranda B. 9. Barrera L. 10. Castro R. 5. Gallucci S. 2. Lecanda T. 7. Mosqueira R. 11. Napolitano A. 4. Perez F. 3. Ramos M.
Substitutes
19. Bonifacio J. 16. Cainelli N. 13. Gonzalez A. 18. Leineker C. 12. Martinez R. (G) 20. Protti I. 14. Ramirez R. 15. Suarez R. 17. Torrens J.	17. Aguirre E. 18. Heritier J. 15. Lemos D. 20. Millanes M. 13. Molina M. 19. Ruiz Diaz D. 12. Salort G. (G) 14. Sanchez F. 16. Vasquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Soloa F. 🟨,
21', Aguirre A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Obando A. ⚽,
25', Nouet F. 🟨,
37', Flores L. 🟨,
43', Castro R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', Napolitano A. ↓, Heritier J. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Moreno M. ⚽,
60', Lecanda T. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Nouet F. ⚽,
64', Moreno M. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
65', Obando A. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
65', Lecanda T. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
69', Nouet F. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
70', Fernandez M. ↓, Bonifacio J. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Protti I. ⚽, Leineker C. (A),
75', 4 - 1, Aguirre A. ⚽, Aranda B. (A),
77', Leineker C. 🟥,
78', Gallucci S. 🟥,
80', Ponce F. 🟨,
82', Barrera L. ↓, Lemos D. ↑,
83', Albertengo L. ↓, Torrens J. ↑,
85', Torrens J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Atlético Rafaela has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Agropecuario is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Rafaela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético Rafaela has had a series of away games.

Atlético Rafaela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético de Rafaela - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.03.26	Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTLW
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Güemes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.06.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Agropecuario Argentino	2:2
10.02.19	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0
03.12.17	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	1:3

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