Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.33
	1.9	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.12	4.8
	1.93	3.12	4.81
	1.85	3.1	4.4
	1.84	3.22	4.46
	1.9	3.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)	4.49 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
49.4%

Draw
29.8%

Deportivo Morón
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

30.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

30%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Portillo A. 3. Oliver F. 2. Jappert K. 6. Colombo R. 11. Quiroz F. 8. Capurro J. 5. Fissore M. 10. Galeano J. (C) 7. Albertengo L. 9. Funez N.	1. Rojas J. (G) 4. Arciero R. 2. Machuca B. 6. Gomez A. (C) 3. Henry N. 7. Berterame G. 5. Vitale J. 8. Gonzalez G. 10. Olivares J. 11. Caceres P. 9. Rescaldani E.
Substitutes
15. Aguero E. 18. Berrondo A. 14. Bravo I. 12. Grinovero A. (G) 13. Kozlovsky N. 16. Merlino L. 17. Ponce A. 19. Toldo F. 20. Vidal P.	18. Bracamonte M. 15. Canete J. 16. Curruhinca A. 14. Lazza E. 13. Lopez F. 17. Nunez P. 20. Romero M. S. 12. Rufinetti A. 19. Sala S. G.
Coaches
Medran E.	Nardozza F.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Atlético de Rafaela is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
12.02.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Aldosivi - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTW
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Deportivo Morón - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	0:4 ✺
10.02.24	Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Deportivo Morón - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.22	Deportivo Morón - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0
10.09.21	Deportivo Morón - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
02.05.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Morón	3:1
15.04.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Morón	0:1
25.03.18	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Morón	0:0

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