The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago 43.7%
Draw 34.1%
Atlético de Rafaela 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
35.2%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
35.3%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nueva Chicago's performance.
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nueva Chicago that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.2%
31.2%
12.5%
Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nueva Chicago: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Zalazar R. E. 6. Paz G. (C) 3. Barros D. 8. Vera M. 5. Gonzalez A. 7. Ocampo T. 10. Cardozo E. 9. Cocimano S. 11. Perez M.
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Ramos N. 2. Fernandez G. 6. Ponce F. 3. Ramirez R. 7. Pardo M. 5. Soloa F. (C) 8. Flores L. 10. Cainelli N. 11. Capurro J. 9. Moreno M.
Substitutes
17. Ambrogio L. 19. Balbuena R. 13. Carrizo E. 12. Masuero F. (G) 20. Petrecca N. 15. Rodriguez T. 18. Romero M. S. 16. Ruiz A. 14. Trindade G.
17. Fernandez M. 19. Leineker C. 12. Martinez R. (G) 14. Moscoloni L. 16. Nouet F. 15. Pepino E. 20. Quiroga M. 13. Solveyra A. 18. Torrens J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ponce F. 🟨,
42', Ponce F. ↓, Moscoloni L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Flores L. 🟨,
61', Vera M. ↓, Ambrogio L. ↑,
64', Barros D. 🟨,
68', Pardo M. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
68', Soloa F. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
75', Perez M. ↓, Balbuena R. ↑,
75', Barros D. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
81', Moreno M. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
81', Cainelli N. ↓, Pepino E. ↑,
84', Ocampo T. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
84', Paz G. ↓, Carrizo E. ↑,
90+2', Ramirez R. 🟨,
Preview
Federation decision.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 3.
Nueva Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético Rafaela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlético Rafaela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Nueva Chicago could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Jachfe L. (G) 
Ramos N. 
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