Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.82	5.00	Watch
	1.90	2.87	4.40
	2.00	3.00	4.10	Watch
	1.96	3.04	4.96
	2.03	2.93	4.37	Watch
	1.91	3.00	4.80
	1.91	2.89	5.02	Watch
	1.92	2.85	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)	4.63 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
48.1%

Draw
31.8%

Atlético de Rafaela
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

31.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

31%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Soto G. 6. Diaz G. 3. Aguirre J. 10. Rinaldi N. 5. Sivetti F. 8. Banega T. 7. Capano J. 9. Gordillo L. 11. Rojas F.	1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Moscoloni L. 10. Obando A. 5. Capurro J. 8. Jourdan F. 7. Fernandez M. 9. Albertengo L. 11. Bonifacio J.
Substitutes
19. Birge M. 20. Contin N. 18. Montoya W. 13. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 15. Rocca J. 17. Rodriguez L. 14. Tallura A. 16. Villarreal R.	17. Cavallaro J. 12. Martinez R. (G) 15. Morello M. 18. Pardo M. 20. Protti I. 14. Ramos N. 19. Rodriguez A. 16. Rojas T. 13. Wuattier E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Fernandez M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Capano J. ⚽, Rinaldi N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
46', Banega T. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
55', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
56', Bonifacio J. 🟨,
57', Diaz G. 🟨,
60', Gordillo L. 🟨,
67', Capano J. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
69', Jourdan F. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
75', Rinaldi N. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
78', Rojas F. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
89', Flores L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 9th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gimnasia y Tiro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Gimnasia y Tiro for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia y Tiro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnasia y Tiro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de Tucumán	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0
05.07.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0
18.02.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0

Upcoming Matches