Match Info

Date: 17 June 2021, Thursday


	Atlético de Rafaela		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.33	3.05	2.95
	2.4	2.95	2.9
	2.47	3.06	3.2
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.35	3.16	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.94)	3.04 ↓ (3.29)	3.03 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
39.1%

Draw
30.4%

Instituto Córdoba
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Rafaela's form might have worsened.

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Instituto Córdoba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Instituto Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético de Rafaela - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Instituto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético de Rafaela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
13.05.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez	2:2 ✺
08.05.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Morón	3:1 ✺
25.04.21	Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.06.21	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
15.05.21	Barracas Central - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	All Boys - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 ✺
30.04.21	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
24.04.21	Tristán Suárez - Instituto Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.10.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Instituto Córdoba	3:2
17.03.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
20.11.17	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0

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