The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Güemes 38.1%
Draw 33.8%
Atlético de Rafaela 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
33.4%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
33.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Juarez W. 6. Melillan F. 3. Benitez M. 8. Gerez M. 5. Godoy F. (C) 10. Ortigoza I. 11. Baier G. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J.
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Ramirez R. 8. Morello M. 5. Capurro J. 11. Cavallaro J. 7. Moreno M. 9. Albertengo L. (C) 10. Obando A.
Substitutes
16. Farrera S. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 15. Juarez J. 19. Leineker C. 14. Martinez M. 12. Palleres T. (G) 17. Pinto A. 18. Pugliese G.
15. Cainelli N. 16. Jourdan F. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Moscoloni L. 17. Pardo M. 19. Protti I. 20. Quiroga M. 14. Ramos N. 18. Rodriguez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Morello M. 🟨,
18', Albertengo L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
24', Ortigoza I. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gerez M. ↓, Pinto A. ↑,
46', Ramirez R. ↓, Moscoloni L. ↑,
63', Cavallaro J. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
64', Sala S. G. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
74', Morello M. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
74', Rodriguez A. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
77', Sanchez J. ↓, Farrera S. ↑,
80+4', Capurro J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Güemes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético Rafaela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlético Rafaela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Güemes has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
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Finochietto L. (G) 
Ramos N. 
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