The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Rafaela 32.9%
Draw 35.9%
Tristán Suárez 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
37.1%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
39.5%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Gonzalez A. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Morello M. 5. Capurro J. 11. Cavallaro J. 10. Obando A. 7. Moreno M. 9. Quiroga M.
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guzman M. 2. Aguilar B. 6. Baldi A. 7. Guillen M. 8. Del Priore N. 5. Enrique M. 3. Fernandez N. 10. Becker D. 11. Banuera G. 9. Gallo A.
Substitutes
20. Bonifacio J. 15. Cainelli N. 18. Fernandez M. 16. Jourdan F. 12. Martinez R. (G) 17. Pardo M. 19. Protti I. 13. Ramirez R. 14. Ramos N.
19. Alvarez M. 13. Aquino S. 20. Beron J. 18. Colli K. 16. Mastrangelo D. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Molina A. 14. Olguin M. 17. Sanchez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Enrique M. 🟨,
32', Wuattier E. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Guzman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Banuera G. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
58', Gallo A. 🟨,
61', Morello M. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
61', Quiroga M. ↓, Bonifacio J. ↑,
66', Gallo A. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
66', Becker D. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Yegros U. ⚽, Obando A. (A),
72', Cavallaro J. ↓, Jourdan F. ↑,
73', Guzman M. 🟨,
76', Obando A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Bonifacio J. ⚽, Bergia M. (A),
81', Bonifacio J. 🟨,
85', Enrique M. ↓, Colli K. ↑,
85', Fernandez N. ↓, Mastrangelo D. ↑,
87', Beron J. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2.
Atlético Rafaela is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tristán Suárez is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tristán Suárez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético de Rafaela - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Tristán Suárez - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Bergia M. (G) 
Ramos N. 
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