Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Sol de América de Formosa

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.80	4.50
	1.9	2.98	4.05
	2.07	2.89	3.54
	1.96	2.93	4.57	Watch
	2.04	2.85	3.5
	2.02	2.96	4.23
	1.7	3.15	5.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	4.21 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
47.2%

Draw
31.1%

Sol de América de Formosa
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acuna D. (G) 8. Almiron C. 5. Barlessi L. 4. Di Buo I. 2. Dominguez F. 3. Franco N. 6. Gimenez C. 9. Ibanez M. 10. Martinez D. 11. Martinez P. 7. Pared M.	1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 10. Jimenez S. 4. Lopez Alba R. 6. Medeiro E. 7. Mendoza F. M. 2. Pardo F. 11. Paredes F. 3. Pietkiewicz F. 8. Romero J. 9. Sosa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Ibanez M. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Almiron C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Pardo F. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Sarmiento is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Sol de América is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sol de América is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarmiento is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 1.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Boca Unidos	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0
20.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1
15.06.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
12.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0
19.05.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0
23.03.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0
09.09.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0

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